11-11-2024, 07:18 AM
Rruq Conservative Words For A Liberal Agenda
We are in the high season of political polls. It feels like we are pelted with a new one by the hour. Public interest and the looming Election Day charge the atmosphere.Are the polls solid Can they be trusted What s the sample size I ve never been called.Partisans bicker over interpreting the polls as if the election were on the line in that moment. In jittery times, polling keeps everyone hopped up. Maybe we should ignore them. We ll know soon enough. But we should not ignore the polls, if for no other reason than political polling encourages humility. That s useful in pol stanley cup itics, or any other public issue, in an age where everyone thinks they re so right about everything. stanley kubek Despite what we think we know, there is uncertainty in political polling - and danger in relying too heavily on what polls predict. CBS News Over the whole stew of political polling looms the belief that the polls were wrong in stanley cup the last election. This is the popular view. It is also the wrong view. In 2016, the average of national polls showed that Hillary Clinton was leading by around 3%. When the votes came in, she won the popular by a hair over 2%, very close.What was wrong was the way a lot of us thought about polls, and thought about the forecasts being made about who might win the election. Hillary Clinton was given anywhere from a 70 to 99% per Cimy Little-known presidential hopeful Gary Johnson to participate in Thursday s GOP debate
SHIELD LAW FOLLOWUP...Atrios comments on the federal shield law for journalists that recently passed the House:I don t really like any shield law which attempts to define journalism as a class rather than an act, I don t like that such law uses an income test to define that class, and I certainly don t understand why the emphasis is on protecting the journalists from testifying rather than the whistleblowers who need protecting.Yay whistleblower protection. Boo defining journalism based on whether it makes you money.I agree in part and disagree in part. I agree that defining journalist as someone who makes a sufficient amount of money doi stanley flask ng journalism is a lousy idea. This was almost certainly done as a way to prevent abuse i.e., mob figures starting up blogs and then claiming they don t have to testify in court becaus stanley kubek e they disseminate information , but it s a dumb way of addressing the problem. There are perfectly good ways of defin stanley mug ing the activity of journalism, and judges are perfectly capable of then making common sense rulings about someone s bona fides. They do it all the time.But I disagree on the whistleblower thing. I don t have any issue with strengthening whistleblower laws though I think enforcing the ones we already have is probably a better place to start , but that really doesn t solve the journalism problem. When reporters get leaks from anonymous sources, those sources don t want to know that they ll be protected. They want to know that they won
We are in the high season of political polls. It feels like we are pelted with a new one by the hour. Public interest and the looming Election Day charge the atmosphere.Are the polls solid Can they be trusted What s the sample size I ve never been called.Partisans bicker over interpreting the polls as if the election were on the line in that moment. In jittery times, polling keeps everyone hopped up. Maybe we should ignore them. We ll know soon enough. But we should not ignore the polls, if for no other reason than political polling encourages humility. That s useful in pol stanley cup itics, or any other public issue, in an age where everyone thinks they re so right about everything. stanley kubek Despite what we think we know, there is uncertainty in political polling - and danger in relying too heavily on what polls predict. CBS News Over the whole stew of political polling looms the belief that the polls were wrong in stanley cup the last election. This is the popular view. It is also the wrong view. In 2016, the average of national polls showed that Hillary Clinton was leading by around 3%. When the votes came in, she won the popular by a hair over 2%, very close.What was wrong was the way a lot of us thought about polls, and thought about the forecasts being made about who might win the election. Hillary Clinton was given anywhere from a 70 to 99% per Cimy Little-known presidential hopeful Gary Johnson to participate in Thursday s GOP debate
SHIELD LAW FOLLOWUP...Atrios comments on the federal shield law for journalists that recently passed the House:I don t really like any shield law which attempts to define journalism as a class rather than an act, I don t like that such law uses an income test to define that class, and I certainly don t understand why the emphasis is on protecting the journalists from testifying rather than the whistleblowers who need protecting.Yay whistleblower protection. Boo defining journalism based on whether it makes you money.I agree in part and disagree in part. I agree that defining journalist as someone who makes a sufficient amount of money doi stanley flask ng journalism is a lousy idea. This was almost certainly done as a way to prevent abuse i.e., mob figures starting up blogs and then claiming they don t have to testify in court becaus stanley kubek e they disseminate information , but it s a dumb way of addressing the problem. There are perfectly good ways of defin stanley mug ing the activity of journalism, and judges are perfectly capable of then making common sense rulings about someone s bona fides. They do it all the time.But I disagree on the whistleblower thing. I don t have any issue with strengthening whistleblower laws though I think enforcing the ones we already have is probably a better place to start , but that really doesn t solve the journalism problem. When reporters get leaks from anonymous sources, those sources don t want to know that they ll be protected. They want to know that they won
